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“It’s inevitable”


An Australian republic is inevitable.


To become a republic a new Australian Constitution which details an agreed republican model will have to be approved by a referendum with at least a majority of States as well as a majority of voters. Since 1901 only eight out of forty two federal referendums have been successful. No referendum has been successful where the NO case has been supported by a major political party or where there has been a strong NO case run by a key organisation.
As yet the republicans have still no agreed republican model despite trying since the 1850s. Published comment on the former Keating Government's proposals demonstrates the breadth of division amongst key republicans.


'In this world nothing can be said to be certain, except death and taxes'
Benjamin Franklin (1706-1790)

'And to the assertion that the republic is inevitable and that we should therefore lie back and accept it, I would answer in the words Passage of the communism referendum, in the frenzy of the Cold War, was inevitable, but it was lost. The only referenda that have succeeded in recent years have enjoyed bipartisan support and carried not the slightest risk of affording significant new powers to politicians. So when I hear the assertion of 'inevitability' spare a thought for history. There is certain impatience in sonic Australians who resent the constitutional conservatism of their fellow citizens. It is unfashionable just now in Australia to support the Constitution. As its centenary approaches, I hope that, as a people, we still come to reflect upon and appreciate the blessings we have enjoyed living under it.'
The Hon Justice Michael Kirby (ACM Charter Signatory) Lecture 'Keeping calm about the Crown: an Australian perspective of the republican 'debate
Fifth William Merrylees Memorial Lecture, Charles Sturt University. 9 November 1993

'That the republic is inevitable has been a continuing theme in the debate and McKenna considers that the belief in its inevitability has been one reason for its postponement. Again, it is important to identify the speakers. In the past it was often republicans who declared the republic was inevitable as they gave up their open advocacy or when they didn't dare to commence it. Inevitability was a sign of weakness, not its cause.'
Dr J. Hirst (ARM Victorian convenor) Review of "The Captive Republic: A History of Republicanism in Australia" by Mark McKenna"The Australian" 13 November 1996

'To rub salt into the wounds, the culmination of a decade of assiduous and detailed consideration of the Constitution within the Labor movement was soundly defeated in the referendum of 1988.'
Mark McKenna (Author) "The Captive Republic" p246

'My government has formed the view that it is probably impossible to write down or codify these [reserve] powers in a way that would both find general community acceptance and cover every possible contingency. ... ... It would not be desirable to attempt to codify the reserve powers.'
The Hon. P.J. Keating (former Prime Minister) Parliamentary speech: "An Australian republic; the way forward" Syjune 1995

The Republican Advisory Committee (chaired by Malcolm Turnbull) had concluded that 'Tippex' republicanism – which substituted 'President' for 'Govern or in our existing Constitution and which assumed that the conventions applying to the Crown would carry over to a republic – gave the President potentially autocratic powers. (Report p119).
The Keating proposal, to state in the Constitution that the President's powers are subject to the conventions now governing on the Crown – but stipulating that the exercise of these powers can't be reviewed by any court and that [lie President can only be sacked by a two-thirds majority, means that, in times of crisis, the President makes his own rules.'
The Hon A.J. Abbott (former ACM Executive Director) "The Minimal Monarchy" p21

'Considering the divergence of republican opinions, it is not only not inevitable, it is inconceivable.'
Mr Lyndsay Thomson (President, 'No Republic' Gold Coast Branch) Various speeches

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